Where markets meet machine learning
Research notes, model explainers and market analysis from the team building TradePredictor. No hype, no signals-for-sale — just how the maths actually works.
Market Analysis
Momentum Trading Explained
Momentum is one of the few anomalies that has survived decades of academic scrutiny across almost every market tested. It also fa…
Market Analysis
How Economic Calendar Events Move Prices
Scheduled data releases are among the few moments in markets where you know in advance that volatility is coming. What you cannot…
Market Analysis
Seasonality in Markets: Signal or Noise?
Calendar patterns are the easiest thing in finance to discover by accident. Some survive scrutiny; most are the product of testin…
Market Analysis
Reading Volume: What It Tells You and What It Doesn't
Volume is the most available secondary data most traders have and among the most misinterpreted. It confirms; it does not predict.
Market Analysis
How Central Bank Decisions Move Forex Pairs
Currency markets do not trade the decision. They trade the difference between the decision and what was already expected.
Market Analysis
What Actually Moves Bitcoin
Beyond the halving narrative, bitcoin's price has behaved increasingly like a high-beta risk asset. The data supports that more t…
Market Analysis
Gold and Real Yields: The Relationship That Actually Matters
Gold pays no income. That single fact explains most of its price behaviour, and it runs through real interest rates rather than i…
Market Analysis
Understanding Market Regimes
Strategies do not work or fail in general. They work in some conditions and fail in others, and the conditions change more often …
Market Analysis
The Dollar Index (DXY) and Why It Moves Everything
The dollar sits on one side of most global transactions. When it moves, it repositions the price of nearly everything else.