Where markets meet machine learning
Research notes, model explainers and market analysis from the team building TradePredictor. No hype, no signals-for-sale — just how the maths actually works.
Trading Strategies
How to Backtest a Strategy Properly
A backtest is not proof that a strategy works. It is a check that the strategy did not obviously fail on one particular slice of …
Trading Strategies
Building a Trading Plan That You Will Actually Follow
Most trading plans fail not because the rules are wrong but because they were written for a version of you that does not exist un…
Trading Strategies
Scalping: What It Actually Requires
Scalping is the most cost-sensitive style there is. Before considering whether your edge is real, work out whether it survives th…
Trading Strategies
Stop Loss Placement Methods
A stop placed at a round number or a fixed percentage is a stop placed where everyone else's is. Structure and volatility are bet…
Trading Strategies
Swing Trading vs Day Trading
The choice is usually framed as a preference. It is closer to a decision about how much of your edge you are willing to hand to t…
Trading Strategies
Risk-Reward Ratio Explained
A 3:1 ratio is meaningless without a win rate attached. The two numbers only mean something together.
Trading Strategies
Position Sizing: The Maths Nobody Teaches
Most traders spend their time on entries. Position size determines survival, and survival is a precondition for everything else.
Trading Strategies
What Is a Breakout Strategy?
Breakout trading sounds simple and produces more false signals than almost any other approach. The filters matter more than the e…
Trading Strategies
Mean Reversion vs Trend Following
Two opposite bets about what price does next. Both work, in different conditions, and each destroys the other's assumptions.